Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 252

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #252

Willie Pile

Drafted by KC , GM Carl Peterson · Virginia Tech

2003 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

2
safeties drafted at #252 in NFL history
most recent: Josh Furman (DEN, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a safety at #252 a 8.4% chance in 2003.

Safety at #252, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.7% 2003: 8.4%

Peak: 9.7% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart