S · pick 254, First S at #254 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (2000)

S·pick 254

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #254

Michael Green

Drafted by CHI , GM Mark Hatley · Northwestern St. (LA)

2000 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

safeties drafted at #254 in NFL history

most recent: Gervarrius Owens (NYG, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1999, the model gave a safety at #254 a 8.6% chance in 2000.

Safety at #254, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.1% · 2027 model: 7.1%

🟡 Mr. Irrelevant cell

Last pick of the draft in 1 year.

2000 Michael Green (CHI)

Surrounding picks · 2000 draft

#249LBEugene McCaslinGB , GM Ron Wolf
#250WREthan HowellWAS , GM Vinny Cerrato
#251LBDaShon PolkBUF , GM John Butler
#252RBRondell MealeyGB , GM Ron Wolf
#253DTAlfonso BooneDET , GM Chuck Schmidt

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2023Gervarrius OwensNYG , GM Joe Schoen · Houston
2022Elijah HicksCHI , GM Ryan Poles · California
2006Vickiel VaughnSF , GM Scot McCloughan · Arkansas

→ see this cell on the full chart