Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 256

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #256

Lonnie Ballentine

Drafted by HOU , GM Rick Smith · Memphis

2014 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2013, the model gave a safety at #256 a 8.7% chance in 2014.

Safety at #256, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.8% 2014: 8.7%

Peak: 9.8% · 2027 model: 6.5%

🟡 Mr. Irrelevant cell

Last pick of the draft in 1 year.

Surrounding picks · 2014 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart