S · pick 34, First S at #34 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (1987)

S·pick 34

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #34

Tim McDonald

Drafted by ARI , GM Bill Bidwill · USC

1987 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

safeties drafted at #34 in NFL history

most recent: Aaron Williams (BUF, 2011)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1986, the model gave a safety at #34 a 6.1% chance in 1987.

Safety at #34, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.6% · 2027 model: 5.6%

Surrounding picks · 1987 draft

#29CBNate OdomesBUF , GM Bill Polian
#30CBBrian DavisWAS , GM Bobby Beathard
#31RBKenny FlowersATL , GM Ken Herock
#32CGregg RakoczyCLE , GM Ernie Accorsi
#33CBRoland MitchellBUF , GM Bill Polian
#35RBChristian OkoyeKC , GM Jim Schaaf
#36CBRicky ReynoldsTB , GM Phil Krueger
#37OGJeff BregelSF , GM John McVay
#38CBDelton HallPIT , GM Dick Haley
#39CBRon FrancisDAL , GM Tex Schramm

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2011Aaron WilliamsBUF , GM Buddy Nix · Texas
2009Patrick ChungNE , GM Bill Belichick · Oregon
2005Brodney PoolCLE , GM Phil Savage · Oklahoma
2000Mark RomanCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · LSU
1990Robert BlackmonSEA , GM Tom Flores/Behring · Baylor
1989Carnell LakePIT , GM Dick Haley · UCLA

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