Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 39

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #39

Mike Brown

Drafted by CHI , GM Mark Hatley · Nebraska

2000 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

2
safeties drafted at #39 in NFL history
most recent: Marcus Maye (NYJ, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1999, the model gave a safety at #39 a 8.4% chance in 2000.

Safety at #39, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.5% 2000: 8.4%

Peak: 10.5% · 2027 model: 5.2%

Surrounding picks · 2000 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart