Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 40

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #40

Darrol Ray

Drafted by NYJ , GM Jim Kensil · Oklahoma

1980 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

6
safeties drafted at #40 in NFL history
most recent: Richie Grant (ATL, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1979, the model gave a safety at #40 a 4.7% chance in 1980.

Safety at #40, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.1% 1980: 4.7%

Peak: 11.1% · 2027 model: 5.4%

Surrounding picks · 1980 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart