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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 49

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #49

Chris Williams

Drafted by BUF , GM Stew Barber · LSU

1981 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

5
safeties drafted at #49 in NFL history
most recent: Taylor Mays (SF, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a safety at #49 a 5.1% chance in 1981.

Safety at #49, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.5% 1981: 5.1%

Peak: 11.5% · 2027 model: 5.3%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart