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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 7

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #7

Troy Vincent

Drafted by MIA , GM Don Shula · Wisconsin

1992 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

3
safeties drafted at #7 in NFL history
most recent: Mark Barron (TB, 2012)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1991, the model gave a safety at #7 a 4.9% chance in 1992.

Safety at #7, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%8.8% 1992: 4.9%

Peak: 8.8% · 2027 model: 5.2%

Surrounding picks · 1992 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart