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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 8

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #8

Ronnie Lott

Drafted by SF , GM John McVay · USC

1981 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

5
safeties drafted at #8 in NFL history
most recent: Donte Whitner (BUF, 2006)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a safety at #8 a 3.5% chance in 1981.

Safety at #8, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.3% 1981: 3.5%

Peak: 9.3% · 2027 model: 5.7%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart