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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 86

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #86

Mike Townsend

Drafted by MIN · Notre Dame

1974 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

3
safeties drafted at #86 in NFL history
most recent: Tom Zbikowski (BAL, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a safety at #86 a 6.8% chance in 1974.

Safety at #86, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.4% 1974: 6.8%

Peak: 10.4% · 2027 model: 5.4%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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