Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 90

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #90

Tom Holmoe

Drafted by SF , GM John McVay · BYU

1983 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

3
safeties drafted at #90 in NFL history
most recent: Kayvon Webster (DEN, 2013)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a safety at #90 a 6.0% chance in 1983.

Safety at #90, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.5% 1983: 6.0%

Peak: 10.5% · 2027 model: 5.5%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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