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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 109

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #109

Travis Dorsch

Drafted by CIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Purdue

2002 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a specialist at #109 a 2.1% chance in 2002.

Specialist at #109, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%3.8% 2002: 2.1%

Peak: 3.8% · 2027 model: 1.6%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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