ST · pick 118, First ST at #118 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping. (2006)

ST·pick 118

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #118

Stephen Gostkowski

Drafted by NE , GM Bill Belichick · Memphis

2006 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2005, the model gave a specialist at #118 a 2.0% chance in 2006.

Specialist at #118, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 3.9% · 2027 model: 1.8%

Surrounding picks · 2006 draft

#113DEVictor AdeyanjuLAR , GM Jay Zygmunt
#114OTJoe ToledoMIA , GM Randy Mueller
#115SWill BlackmonGB , GM Ted Thompson
#116LBStephen TullochTEN , GM Floyd Reese
#117RBLeon WashingtonNYJ , GM Mike Tannenbaum
#119WRBrandon MarshallDEN , GM Mike Shanahan
#120LBJamar WilliamsCHI , GM Jerry Angelo
#121SNate SalleyCAR , GM Marty Hurney
#122CBAlan ZemaitisTB , GM Bruce Allen
#123DTDomata PekoCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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