Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 120

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #120

Nick Harris

Drafted by DEN , GM Mike Shanahan · California

2001 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

2
STs drafted at #120 in NFL history
most recent: Alex Henery (PHI, 2011)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2000, the model gave a specialist at #120 a 2.1% chance in 2001.

Specialist at #120, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%3.9% 2001: 2.1%

Peak: 3.9% · 2027 model: 2.0%

Surrounding picks · 2001 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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