ST · pick 121, First ST at #121 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping. (1986)

ST·pick 121

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #121

Ray Criswell

Drafted by PHI , GM Harry Gamble · Florida

1986 · round 5

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1985, the model gave a specialist at #121 a 2.9% chance in 1986.

Specialist at #121, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 3.9% · 2027 model: 1.6%

Surrounding picks · 1986 draft

#116DEJeff TupperARI , GM Bill Bidwill
#117DTScott KellarIND , GM Jim Irsay/staff
#118LBDoug LandryLAC , GM Steve Ortmayer
#119RBOscar SmithDET , GM Russ Thomas
#120WRHassan JonesMIN , GM Mike Lynn
#122CBErroll TuckerPIT , GM Dick Haley
#123LBLeon WhiteCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#124CGary WalkerIND , GM Jim Irsay/staff
#125DEMatt KoartGB , GM Forrest Gregg
#126RBBobby Joe EdmondsSEA , GM Mike McCormack

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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