Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 137

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #137

Josh Scobee

Drafted by JAX , GM James Harris · Louisiana Tech

2004 · round 5

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a specialist at #137 a 2.0% chance in 2004.

Specialist at #137, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%4.1% 2004: 2.0%

Peak: 4.1% · 2027 model: 2.0%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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