Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 145

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #145

Matt Gay

Drafted by TB , GM Jason Licht · Utah

2019 · round 5

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2018, the model gave a specialist at #145 a 1.9% chance in 2019.

Specialist at #145, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%4.1% 2019: 1.9%

Peak: 4.1% · 2027 model: 2.2%

Surrounding picks · 2019 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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