ST · pick 149, First ST at #149 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping. (2003)

ST·pick 149

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #149

Mike Scifres

Drafted by LAC , GM A.J. Smith · Western Illinois

2003 · round 5

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

STs drafted at #149 in NFL history

most recent: Evan McPherson (CIN, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a specialist at #149 a 2.1% chance in 2003.

Specialist at #149, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.2% · 2027 model: 2.7%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#144LBJames DavisDET , GM Matt Millen
#145DTKindal MooreheadCAR , GM Marty Hurney
#146DTAubrayo FranklinBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome
#147DTJames LeeGB , GM Mike Sherman
#148RBDan CurleyLAR , GM Charley Armey
#150DEMatt WaltersNYJ , GM Terry Bradway
#151OTBen SobieskiBUF , GM Tom Donahoe
#152CBMichael LehanCLE , GM Butch Davis
#153OTJordan BlackKC , GM Carl Peterson
#154SDonnie NickeyTEN , GM Floyd Reese

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2021Evan McPhersonCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Florida
2018Michael DicksonSEA , GM John Schneider · Texas

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