ST · pick 153, First ST at #153 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping. (2017)

ST·pick 153

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #153

Jake Elliott

Drafted by CIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Memphis

2017 · round 5

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2016, the model gave a specialist at #153 a 1.8% chance in 2017.

Specialist at #153, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.2% · 2027 model: 2.3%

Surrounding picks · 2017 draft

#148LBBlair BrownJAX , GM David Caldwell
#149CBDamontae KazeeATL , GM Thomas Dimitroff
#150TEJordan LeggettNYJ , GM Mike Maccagnan
#151SDesmond KingLAC , GM Tom Telesco
#152CBCorn ElderCAR , GM Marty Hurney
#154TEJeremy SprinkleWAS , GM Bruce Allen
#155LBJayon BrownTEN , GM Jon Robinson
#156RBBrian HillATL , GM Thomas Dimitroff
#157OTWill HoldenARI , GM Steve Keim
#158CBNate HairstonIND , GM Chris Ballard

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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