ST · pick 164, First ST at #164 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping. (2009)

ST·pick 164

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #164

Thomas Morstead

Drafted by NO , GM Mickey Loomis · SMU

2009 · round 5

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2008, the model gave a specialist at #164 a 2.2% chance in 2009.

Specialist at #164, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.3% · 2027 model: 2.5%

Surrounding picks · 2009 draft

#159OTFenuki TupouPHI , GM Tom Heckert
#160WRBrooks FosterLAR , GM Billy Devaney
#161TEJohn NalboneMIA , GM Jeff Ireland
#162OTJamon MeredithGB , GM Ted Thompson
#163OGDuke RobinsonCAR , GM Marty Hurney
#165SChris ClemonsMIA , GM Jeff Ireland
#166SMichael HamlinDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#167OTHerman JohnsonARI , GM Rod Graves
#168CBJoe BurnettPIT , GM Kevin Colbert
#169RBFrank SummersPIT , GM Kevin Colbert

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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