ST · pick 174, First ST at #174 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping. (1981)

ST·pick 174

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #174

Alan Duncan

Drafted by PHI , GM Jim Murray · Tennessee

1981 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

STs drafted at #174 in NFL history

most recent: Paul Edinger (CHI, 2000)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a specialist at #174 a 2.9% chance in 1981.

Specialist at #174, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.3% · 2027 model: 2.7%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

#169DEKenny NeilNYJ , GM Jim Kensil
#170WRRon JohnsonSEA , GM John Thompson
#171CBKevin DonnalleyARI , GM Bill Bidwill
#172SBill WhitakerGB , GM Bart Starr
#173CBRon FellowsDAL , GM Tex Schramm
#175TERon BattleLAR , GM Don Klosterman
#176LBJeff SchuhCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#177CBJeff FisherCHI , GM Jim Finks
#178STObed AririIND , GM Dick Szymanski
#179OTMike DaumMIA , GM Don Shula

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2000Paul EdingerCHI , GM Mark Hatley · Michigan St.

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