ST · pick 178, First ST at #178 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping. (1981)

ST·pick 178

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #178

Obed Ariri

Drafted by IND , GM Dick Szymanski · Clemson

1981 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

STs drafted at #178 in NFL history

most recent: Taylor Mehlhaff (NO, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a specialist at #178 a 2.9% chance in 1981.

Specialist at #178, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.4% · 2027 model: 3.0%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

#173CBRon FellowsDAL , GM Tex Schramm
#174STAlan DuncanPHI , GM Jim Murray
#175TERon BattleLAR , GM Don Klosterman
#176LBJeff SchuhCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#177CBJeff FisherCHI , GM Jim Finks
#179OTMike DaumMIA , GM Don Shula
#180RBBilly JacksonKC , GM Jim Schaaf
#181LBSteve BusickDEN , GM Edgar Kaiser/staff
#182OTLee SpiveyDET , GM Russ Thomas
#183LBDavid LittlePIT , GM Dick Haley

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2008Taylor MehlhaffNO , GM Mickey Loomis · Wisconsin
2007Nick FolkDAL , GM Jerry Jones · Arizona

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