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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 180

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #180

Eddie Johnson

Drafted by MIN , GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski · Idaho St.

2003 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

2
STs drafted at #180 in NFL history
most recent: Matt Araiza (BUF, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a specialist at #180 a 2.1% chance in 2003.

Specialist at #180, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%4.4% 2003: 2.1%

Peak: 4.4% · 2027 model: 3.0%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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