ST · pick 181, First ST at #181 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping. (1983)

ST·pick 181

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #181

Mike Black

Drafted by DET , GM Russ Thomas · Arizona St.

1983 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

STs drafted at #181 in NFL history

most recent: Jeff Hall (WAS, 1999)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a specialist at #181 a 3.1% chance in 1983.

Specialist at #181, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.4% · 2027 model: 2.8%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#176WRRocky BelkCLE , GM Art Modell/staff
#177LBSam MerrimanSEA , GM Mike McCormack
#178CBPerry WilliamsNYG , GM George Young
#179RBDaryl PoseyKC , GM Jim Schaaf
#180DTGurnest BrownBUF , GM Stew Barber
#182OGJon SchultheisPHI , GM Jim Murray
#184CCarlos ScottARI , GM Bill Bidwill
#185RBWeldon LedbetterTB , GM Phil Krueger
#186CBCarl LeeMIN , GM Mike Lynn
#187RBCraig JamesNE , GM Patrick Sullivan

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

1999Jeff HallWAS , GM Charley Casserly · Tennessee

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