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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 193

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #193

Mitch Berger

Drafted by PHI , GM Harry Gamble · Colorado

1994 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

2
STs drafted at #193 in NFL history
most recent: Mason Crosby (GB, 2007)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1993, the model gave a specialist at #193 a 3.0% chance in 1994.

Specialist at #193, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%4.5% 1994: 3.0%

Peak: 4.5% · 2027 model: 3.0%

Surrounding picks · 1994 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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