ST · pick 194, First ST at #194 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping. (2002)

ST·pick 194

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #194

Craig Jarrett

Drafted by SEA , GM Mike Holmgren · Michigan St.

2002 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a specialist at #194 a 2.3% chance in 2002.

Specialist at #194, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.5% · 2027 model: 3.1%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#189SKeyon NashLV , GM Al Davis era
#190DTHoward GreenHOU , GM Charley Casserly
#191TEJeb PutzierDEN , GM Mike Shanahan
#192OTReggie ColemanWAS , GM Vinny Cerrato
#193DEJohn StamperTB , GM Rich McKay
#195CBLamont BrightfulBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome
#196TEJohn GilmoreNO , GM Mickey Loomis
#197RBLarry NedLV , GM Al Davis era
#198LBTyreo HarrisonPHI , GM Andy Reid
#199RBAdrian PetersonCHI , GM Jerry Angelo

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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