ST · pick 202, First ST at #202 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping. (2005)

ST·pick 202

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #202

Dave Rayner

Drafted by IND , GM Bill Polian · Michigan St.

2005 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a specialist at #202 a 2.4% chance in 2005.

Specialist at #202, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.6% · 2027 model: 3.2%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

#197OGJustin GeisingerBUF , GM Tom Donahoe
#198TEJoel DreessenNYJ , GM Terry Bradway
#199DEKhari LongKC , GM Carl Peterson
#200OGChris MyersDEN , GM Mike Shanahan
#201RBDeAndra CobbATL , GM Rich McKay
#203DTAndrew HoffmanCLE , GM Phil Savage
#204OGChris KemoeatuPIT , GM Kevin Colbert
#205CBDerrick JohnsonSF , GM Scot McCloughan
#206DEJonathan GoddardDET , GM Matt Millen
#207OTJoe BergerCAR , GM Marty Hurney

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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