ST · pick 207, First ST at #207 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping. (2012)

ST·pick 207

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #207

Brad Nortman

Drafted by CAR , GM Marty Hurney · Wisconsin

2012 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

STs drafted at #207 in NFL history

most recent: Anders Carlson (GB, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2011, the model gave a specialist at #207 a 2.3% chance in 2012.

Specialist at #207, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.6% · 2027 model: 3.6%

Surrounding picks · 2012 draft

#202RBTerrance GanawayNYJ , GM Mike Tannenbaum
#203OGRobert GriffinNYJ , GM Mike Tannenbaum
#204LBEmmanuel AchoCLE , GM Tom Heckert
#205DTBilly WinnCLE , GM Tom Heckert
#206WRLaVon BrazillIND , GM Ryan Grigson
#208OGJustin AndersonIND , GM Ryan Grigson
#209LBAaron BrownLAR , GM Les Snead
#210LBAudie ColeMIN , GM Rick Spielman
#211DEScott SolomonTEN , GM Ruston Webster
#212RBMichael SmithTB , GM Mark Dominik

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2023Anders CarlsonGB , GM Brian Gutekunst · Auburn

→ see this cell on the full chart