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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 221

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #221

Matt Dodge

Drafted by NYG , GM Jerry Reese · East Carolina

2010 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2009, the model gave a specialist at #221 a 2.5% chance in 2010.

Specialist at #221, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%4.7% 2010: 2.5%

Peak: 4.7% · 2027 model: 3.7%

Surrounding picks · 2010 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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