ST · pick 222, First ST at #222 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping. (2003)

ST·pick 222

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #222

Josh Brown

Drafted by SEA , GM Mike Holmgren · Nebraska

2003 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

STs drafted at #222 in NFL history

most recent: Thomas Fletcher (CAR, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a specialist at #222 a 2.4% chance in 2003.

Specialist at #222, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.8% · 2027 model: 4.2%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#217SCurry BurnsHOU , GM Charley Casserly
#218RBMalaefou MacKenzieJAX , GM James Harris
#219OGJustin BatesDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#220CBBlue AdamsDET , GM Matt Millen
#221WRKeenan HowryMIN , GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#223TETrent SmithBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome
#224WRTaco WallaceSEA , GM Mike Holmgren
#225OGTodd WilliamsTEN , GM Floyd Reese
#226WRWalter YoungCAR , GM Marty Hurney
#227DEClint MitchellDEN , GM Mike Shanahan

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2021Thomas FletcherCAR , GM Scott Fitterer · Alabama
2009Pat McAfeeIND , GM Bill Polian · West Virginia

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