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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 228

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #228

Kris Brown

Drafted by PIT , GM Tom Donahoe · Nebraska

1999 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

4
STs drafted at #228 in NFL history
most recent: Sterling Hofrichter (ATL, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1998, the model gave a specialist at #228 a 2.9% chance in 1999.

Specialist at #228, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%4.8% 1999: 2.9%

Peak: 4.8% · 2027 model: 4.5%

Surrounding picks · 1999 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart