ST · pick 251, First ST at #251 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping. (2012)

ST·pick 251

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #251

John Potter

Drafted by BUF , GM Buddy Nix · Western Michigan

2012 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

STs drafted at #251 in NFL history

most recent: Julian Ashby (NE, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2011, the model gave a specialist at #251 a 2.6% chance in 2012.

Specialist at #251, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 5.5% · 2027 model: 5.1%

Surrounding picks · 2012 draft

#246CBTerrence FrederickPIT , GM Kevin Colbert
#247TEBrad SmelleyCLE , GM Tom Heckert
#248OTKelvin BeachumPIT , GM Kevin Colbert
#249DTTravian RobertsonATL , GM Thomas Dimitroff
#250RBEdwin BakerLAC , GM A.J. Smith
#252RBDaryl RichardsonLAR , GM Les Snead
#253QBChandler HarnishIND , GM Ryan Grigson

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2025Julian AshbyNE , GM Eliot Wolf · Vanderbilt

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