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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 254

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #254

Pressley Harvin III

Drafted by PIT , GM Kevin Colbert · Georgia Tech

2021 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2020, the model gave a specialist at #254 a 3.7% chance in 2021.

Specialist at #254, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%5.6% 2021: 3.7%

Peak: 5.6% · 2027 model: 5.1%

Surrounding picks · 2021 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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