ST · pick 47, First ST at #47 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping. (2005)

ST·pick 47

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #47

Mike Nugent

Drafted by NYJ , GM Terry Bradway · Ohio St.

2005 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a specialist at #47 a 1.7% chance in 2005.

Specialist at #47, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 3.2% · 2027 model: 1.0%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

#42LBKevin BurnettDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#43CBCorey WebsterNYG , GM Ernie Accorsi
#44RBJ.J. ArringtonARI , GM Rod Graves
#45LBLofa TatupuSEA , GM Tim Ruskell
#46DEMatt RothMIA , GM Randy Mueller
#48LBOdell ThurmanCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#49OGMarcus JohnsonMIN , GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#50CBRon BartellLAR , GM Charley Armey
#51SNick CollinsGB , GM Ted Thompson
#52OTKhalif BarnesJAX , GM James Harris

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart