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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 59

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #59

Roberto Aguayo

Drafted by TB , GM Jason Licht · Florida St.

2016 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2015, the model gave a specialist at #59 a 1.2% chance in 2016.

Specialist at #59, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%3.3% 2016: 1.3%

Peak: 3.3% · 2027 model: 1.1%

Surrounding picks · 2016 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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