Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 70

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #70

Jason Elam

Drafted by DEN , GM John Beake · Hawaii

1993 · round 3

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

2
STs drafted at #70 in NFL history
most recent: Bryan Anger (JAX, 2012)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1992, the model gave a specialist at #70 a 2.5% chance in 1993.

Specialist at #70, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%3.4% 1993: 2.5%

Peak: 3.4% · 2027 model: 1.2%

Surrounding picks · 1993 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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