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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 99

FIRST ST IN OUR WINDOW AT #99

Dustin Colquitt

Drafted by KC , GM Carl Peterson · Tennessee

2005 · round 3

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, ST grouping.

2
STs drafted at #99 in NFL history
most recent: Jake Moody (SF, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a specialist at #99 a 1.9% chance in 2005.

Specialist at #99, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%3.7% 2005: 1.9%

Peak: 3.7% · 2027 model: 1.8%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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