TE · pick 107, First TE at #107 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping. (1981)

TE·pick 107

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #107

Eric Sievers

Drafted by LAC , GM Steve Ortmayer · Maryland

1981 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

TEs drafted at #107 in NFL history

most recent: Theo Johnson (NYG, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a tight end at #107 a 5.3% chance in 1981.

Tight end at #107, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.6% · 2027 model: 7.3%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

#102LBDon BlackmonNE , GM Bucko Kilroy
#103RBAmos LawrenceLAC , GM Steve Ortmayer
#104OGGeorge LiljaLAR , GM Don Klosterman
#105DTRichard TurnerGB , GM Bart Starr
#106OTNick EyreTEN , GM Ladd Herzeg
#108LBDerrie NelsonDAL , GM Tex Schramm
#109OGJohn ScullyATL , GM Eddie LeBaron
#110RBCalvin MurrayPHI , GM Jim Murray
#111DTJohnny RobinsonLV , GM Al Davis
#112OGLouis OubreNO , GM Ken Meyer/staff

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2024Theo JohnsonNYG , GM Joe Schoen · Penn St.
2018Chris HerndonNYJ , GM Mike Maccagnan · Miami (FL)
1995Tyrone DavisNYJ , GM Steve Gutman / Pat Kirwan · Virginia
1983Pat DunsmoreCHI , GM Jerry Vainisi · Drake

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