Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 118

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #118

Chris Luzar

Drafted by JAX , GM Tom Coughlin · Virginia

2002 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

3
TEs drafted at #118 in NFL history
most recent: Albert Okwuegbunam (DEN, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a tight end at #118 a 6.2% chance in 2002.

Tight end at #118, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%7.7% 2002: 6.2%

Peak: 7.7% · 2027 model: 7.5%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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