Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 121

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #121

John Burke

Drafted by NE , GM Bill Parcells · Virginia Tech

1994 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

4
TEs drafted at #121 in NFL history
most recent: AJ Barner (SEA, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1993, the model gave a tight end at #121 a 6.6% chance in 1994.

Tight end at #121, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%7.7% 1994: 6.6%

Peak: 7.7% · 2027 model: 7.5%

Surrounding picks · 1994 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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