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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 124

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #124

Gary Arthur

Drafted by NYJ · Miami (OH)

1970 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

4
TEs drafted at #124 in NFL history
most recent: John Bates (WAS, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a tight end at #124 a 5.2% chance in 1970.

Tight end at #124, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%7.7% 1970: 5.2%

Peak: 7.7% · 2027 model: 7.0%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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