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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 140

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #140

Pat Beach

Drafted by IND , GM Ernie Accorsi · Washington St.

1982 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

2
TEs drafted at #140 in NFL history
most recent: Thornton Chandler (DAL, 1986)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1981, the model gave a tight end at #140 a 5.4% chance in 1982.

Tight end at #140, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%8.0% 1982: 5.4%

Peak: 8.0% · 2027 model: 6.6%

Surrounding picks · 1982 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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