Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

← back to chart · 2026 draftigamis

TE·pick 146

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #146

Blake Spence

Drafted by NYJ , GM Bill Parcells · Oregon

1998 · round 5

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

2
TEs drafted at #146 in NFL history
most recent: George Kittle (SF, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1997, the model gave a tight end at #146 a 7.1% chance in 1998.

Tight end at #146, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%7.8% 1998: 7.1%

Peak: 7.8% · 2027 model: 7.0%

Surrounding picks · 1998 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart