TE · pick 15, First TE at #15 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping. (1985)

TE·pick 15

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #15

Ethan Horton

Drafted by KC , GM Jim Schaaf · North Carolina

1985 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

TEs drafted at #15 in NFL history

most recent: Johnny Mitchell (NYJ, 1992)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1984, the model gave a tight end at #15 a 5.6% chance in 1985.

Tight end at #15, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.4% · 2027 model: 3.7%

Surrounding picks · 1985 draft

#10WRAl ToonNYJ , GM Jim Kensil
#11CBRichard JohnsonTEN , GM Ladd Herzeg
#12OTJim LacheyLAC , GM Steve Ortmayer
#13WREddie BrownCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#14CBDerrick BurroughsBUF , GM Bill Polian
#16WRJerry RiceSF , GM John McVay
#17DTKevin BrooksDAL , GM Tex Schramm
#18DEFreddie Joe NunnARI , GM Bill Bidwill
#19RBGeorge AdamsNYG , GM George Young
#20DEDarryl SimsPIT , GM Dick Haley

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

1992Johnny MitchellNYJ , GM Dick Steinberg · Nebraska

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