Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 151

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #151

Orson Mobley

Drafted by DEN , GM John Beake · Salem

1986 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

3
TEs drafted at #151 in NFL history
most recent: Mark Wilson (WAS, 2004)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1985, the model gave a tight end at #151 a 6.4% chance in 1986.

Tight end at #151, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%8.3% 1986: 6.4%

Peak: 8.3% · 2027 model: 6.7%

Surrounding picks · 1986 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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