Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 153

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #153

Kevin Boss

Drafted by NYG , GM Jerry Reese · Western Oregon

2007 · round 5

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

2
TEs drafted at #153 in NFL history
most recent: Cornelius Ingram (PHI, 2009)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2006, the model gave a tight end at #153 a 6.1% chance in 2007.

Tight end at #153, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%8.0% 2007: 6.1%

Peak: 8.0% · 2027 model: 7.0%

Surrounding picks · 2007 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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