TE · pick 154, First TE at #154 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping. (1978)

TE·pick 154

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #154

Conrad Rucker

Drafted by TEN · Southern

1978 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

TEs drafted at #154 in NFL history

most recent: Jeremy Sprinkle (WAS, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a tight end at #154 a 5.2% chance in 1978.

Tight end at #154, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.6% · 2027 model: 6.9%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#149CPitts, AlAl PittsCLE
#150SDwight HicksDET
#151DEWilliams, JackJack WilliamsARI
#152WRRodney ParkerATL
#153OGTony ArdizzoneDET
#155RBGeise, SteveSteve GeiseCIN
#156LBColeman, KemKem ColemanNE
#157LBFrancis ChesleyNO
#158DEMekeli IeremiaCHI
#159RBTony GreenWAS

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2017Jeremy SprinkleWAS , GM Bruce Allen · Arkansas
2010Andrew QuarlessGB , GM Ted Thompson · Penn St.
1988Steve JohnsonNE , GM Patrick Sullivan · Virginia Tech
1985Keith LesterCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Murray St.

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