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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 157

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #157

Alvis Darby

Drafted by SEA · Florida

1976 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

8
TEs drafted at #157 in NFL history
most recent: Tyler Conklin (MIN, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a tight end at #157 a 5.3% chance in 1976.

Tight end at #157, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.2% 1976: 5.3%

Peak: 9.2% · 2027 model: 7.1%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

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