TE · pick 169, First TE at #169 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping. (1984)

TE·pick 169

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #169

Jay Carroll

Drafted by TB , GM Phil Krueger · Minnesota

1984 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

TEs drafted at #169 in NFL history

most recent: Riley Nowakowski (PIT, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a tight end at #169 a 5.8% chance in 1984.

Tight end at #169, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.8% · 2027 model: 7.0%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

#164CBChris BrownPIT , GM Dick Haley
#165LBRowland TatumMIA , GM Don Shula
#166OGJoe LevelisDAL , GM Tex Schramm
#167OTCurt SingerWAS , GM Bobby Beathard
#168SStacey ToranLV , GM Al Davis
#170RBWillie JoynerTEN , GM Ladd Herzeg
#171WRLionel ManuelNYG , GM George Young
#172RBJoe HayesPHI , GM Jim Murray
#173CBKevin RossKC , GM Jim Schaaf
#174WRJesse BendrossLAC , GM Steve Ortmayer

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2026Riley NowakowskiPIT · Indiana
2004Ryan KrauseLAC , GM A.J. Smith · Nebraska-Omaha
2002Ryan HannamSEA , GM Mike Holmgren · Northern Iowa
1993Clarence WilliamsDEN , GM John Beake · Washington St.

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