Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 170

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #170

Tom Mullady

Drafted by BUF · Rhodes

1979 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

5
TEs drafted at #170 in NFL history
most recent: Joe Royer (CLE, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a tight end at #170 a 5.3% chance in 1979.

Tight end at #170, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%8.9% 1979: 5.3%

Peak: 8.9% · 2027 model: 7.0%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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